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Tournament Journey of Last 4 in PSL 2019

League Round of 4th Edition of Pakistan Super League has been concluded and it has come down to 4 teams to claim the title. A perfect time to look back at how the teams ebbed and flowed at the points table during the league round and here’s a quick look at it:


More than skill and experience, its often form and momentum of a team that decides its fate in a tournament scenario. The above view provides a good avenue to review the last 4 teams, on the same basis.

Let’s review the last 4, one by one: 


QUETTA GLADIATORS has been, by far, the most consistent side of PSL4. They were the first team to qualify for the next round. Although, lost the top position at the end, they remained at the top of the table during most part of the league round. That the lowest their ranking dipped this season was 3rd spot, is a statement in itself about their dominance and consistency in this season. 


They lost both their games against Karachi. Its only the second time that Quetta has lost both the league games to a team in any season – Islamabad did it in 2017. The other team that managed to beat them, this season, was Lahore. Interestingly, Lahore has not managed to win more than 3 games in any PSL season but they have managed to beat Quetta once in all seasons except 2017.

For the first time since PSL1, it’s the first time Quetta Gladiators are going into the last round of the tournament with full squad. All their foreign players have come to Pakistan saving them from their usual pain of fielding replacement overseas players in the most crucial phase of the tournament. Their daring calls to pick Sohail Tanvir, Umar Akmal and Ahmad Shahzad have paid off, Watson is in form and one of the masters of the format, DJ Bravo has also joined them to bolster their lineup in the Final stage.

Consistency, depth, experience and line up filled with match winners make Quetta the top contenders for the title this year. 

PESHAWAR ZALMI has finished as the top team in the Points Table at the end of League Round for the third time in PSL history. Islamabad United topped the Table in 2018 when Peshawar finished 3rd, in fact just 1 point ahead of the top team to be disqualified, Multan Sultans.



Peshawar didn’t start off at their dominating best – lost 2, won 2, in the first 4 games. But since then, they have been in in devastating form – losing only 1 out of 6. In the last 2 matches, they have showcased full range of their arsenal as well. Against Lahore, they had the experience of Misbah to rescue them from 20/5 situation, while against Karachi, the brutality of Kamran Akmal at the top, all but nullified the very capable fire power of Karachi’s batting.

Peshawar has peaked, gathered and exploded at, probably, the perfect time in the tournament; fully capable of bursting their way to the trophy. 

ISLAMABAD UNITED is the only team – qualified for the next round – with a different captain than the last season and it has reflected in their journey as well. They finished Table Toppers last year but have spent most of the time, this season, right in the middle of the table. They appointed a new captain – someone with not so accomplished captaincy credentials – and then injuries to him forced a young boy – literally – to lead the side. Considering these factors, staying well clear of the bottom of the table for most of part of the season is an achievement in itself. 


Last year, their performance was dominant. The right word for their performance this year would be resilient. There’s no lack of star cast in their line up, still, their journey is built more around team spirit, cohesion and coordination.

Going into the business end of the tournament, Islamabad United looks the most spirited side. The kind of spirit where any player on his day could take them to victory against any side.




KARACHI KINGS had, probably, the most remarkable journey this year. Tipped by many as probably the strongest squad on paper, they had the longest stretch by any team this year in the danger-zone (ranked 5 or 6) – that’s right, even longer than Multan Sultans or Lahore Qalandars who eventually got disqualified.

Winning only 2 out of first 6 games, they were seriously slow off the mark. The explosives filled batting lineup not firing, experienced local pacers – Sohail and Shinwari – going all over the place and captain missing out on bowling specialist bowlers - at one stage, Karachi Kings looked certain to be the first team to get knocked out of the qualification race this year. 

Then came Colin Ingram’s performance against the most consistent side in the campaign, Quetta Gladiators, and it seemed to have triggered the pack.
Karachi Kings have lost only 2 games out of last 6 and both of them courtesy of exceptional individual performances from the opponent camp – by Asif Ali and Kamran Akmal.

Coming out of near disqualification threat, gaining momentum at the right time and still having a couple of match winners yet to fire (the devastating Colin Munro and Ben Dunk), seriously experienced bowling lineup and above all, the home crowd advantage, Karachi looks far from being just a filler in the list of last 4 standing to claim the title.

To round it off, here’s how teams have fared in this year’s PSL. 







Still to come:

  • Journey of all teams across PSL seasons
  • Team-wise Form guide across seasons
  •   Review of teams beyond League Round



Want to see specific analysis or have a specific query?
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Azhar-Asad Since Misbah-Younus

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Pakistan's Chasing Ghost

Pakistan failed to chase down a get-able target yet another time in Tests. The margin this time came down to 4 runs - and as they say - the closest defeats are the bloodiest.

Winning and losing is part of the game. Unpredictability is what differentiates sports played by humans from a game performed by robots. It all reverses when a particular outcome - be it winning or losing - starts to become predictable with robotic accuracy. This has what it become in case of Pakistan’s handling of run chases.

For Pakistan in the recent times, chasing in 4th innings of a Test has become like being chased by ghosts. Whenever Pakistan is put to chase, it looks more like its Pakistan team that is being chased, by the ghosts, rather than Pakistan team chasing a target.





It can be argued that Pakistan was never a side good at innings 4 of a Test. Such arguments can only be settled by looking at the related facts across the eras of Pakistan Test Cricket history. So let’s have a look at it.

In all, Pakistan has batted 4th in a Test on 140 occasions where it managed to come out winners on 59 occasions, mustered a draw 32 times while failed to save the Test 49 times. In percentages, Pakistan has won 42% of the run chases, drawn 35% and lost only on 23% occasions.

If the targets and results are broken down into ranges, here’s the picture that it paints:
Pakistan's 4th innings run chases Summary
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PREVIEW - Polar Opposites to contest for Pole Position


Its method versus flair, its predictability versus flamboyance, its Australia versus Pakistan, and the stage is the most explosive format of the game – T20I. If, over the years, Australians have symbolized success through consistency, Pakistan has showcased the impact of natural raw talent.
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TEST-ing Opportunity for Pakistan


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The Captaincy Debate


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Asia Cup 2018 - an ICC Rankings View


The last time teams competed for the tile of Champions of the Cricketing World, the last three teams to remain in the hunt were all from Asia. 3 out of the 5 teams to win an ICC ODI World Cup have been from Asia. The same 3 teams have also won the next big tournament in Cricket, ICC Champions Trophy. If this is not enough to underscore the impact of Asian Cricket in the World, 6 out of 14 International teams officially ranked by ICC for the ODI format are from Asia.
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SAIFY SAVING SETHI's SKIN

If Sethi, somehow, survives the demands of his removal, he should specially thank one man, the man named Sarfraz Ahmed, the one man whose part will be the biggest in saving his job.

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Pakistan's ODI Ranking - October 2002 to June 2018

 Here's a quick look at Pakistan's ODI Ranking since the inception of Official ICC Rankings in 2002.


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Timeline of HIGHEST ODI TOTALS


A timeline of all records for Highest ODI Team Total
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Record Totals in ODIs since ODI #1


A complete list of all Team totals that stood as record at the time.
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The overhauling of Pakistan Test side goes a step further

England vs Pakistan at Hedingley, Leeds, June 1, 2018
Usman Salahuddin becomes the 9th Pakistani to make his debut in the last 12 Test matches, in a period of roughly 19 months. Here are some more interesting stats about this recent overhauling of Pakistan Test side.

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Asad Shafiq in Tests since 4th innings 100 in Australia

Asad Shafiq in Tests since that famous 4th innings 100 in Australia



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Sarfraz Ahmed's batting average drops below 40

Sarfraz Ahmed's Test Batting Average drops below 40 for the first time since November 2014



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Azhar Ali in Tests since 200 in Australia

Azhar Ali in Tests since his double hundred against Australia in Australia



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50 and a wicket for Pakistan on Test debut

Faheem Ashraf becomes the first Pakistani to score a 50 and take a wicket in his first over on Test debut.

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Consolidated ICC Team Rankings


After the Annual Update, the ranking tables for all three formats have been announced.

England claimed the number 1 ranking in ODIs, while Pakistan and India retained their number 1 ranking in T20I and Test formats, respectively. 

ICC Rankings provides a good measure to benchmark International Cricket teams against each other. It takes into account the recent performance of both teams before awarding points to competing teams for any match. The mechanism provides a fair idea of which teams are performing well or worse, in the International Circuit.


However, the picture painted by ICC Rankings remain strictly confined to the boundaries of respective formats. Excessive success or failure in one format simply carries no effect in the rankings of the other format. Conversely, people also tend to consider the standing of a team in all three formats to ascertain its overall standing in the Cricketing World.

Just to follow through on that thought, here is a consolidated view of all International Teams across the formats

ICC Rankings table is designed in a way where a rating of 100 points is considered the par score and this remains true for Rankings tables in all three formats. Therefore, equal weightage has been given to each format for the purpose of this calculation. The rating points of teams in different formats have been simply added to extract an overall rating of the teams.

Ranking data source: icc-cricket.com as of 3 May 2018

The table provides a good status report of teams where a team is not only competing with other teams in a particular format but it is also competing with itself in other formats. These self-comparisons tell some interesting stories. But before coming to it, it would be better to discuss a bit more about a few aspects of ICC rankings.

Along with ranking teams in an order, the basic concept of ICC Rankings is to provide performance benchmarks. Unlike equating all number 1 ranked teams , the ratings in ICC Ranking also provides the quantifiable magnitude of teams' performances.
For instance, Australia won the 2003 and 2007 World Cups without losing a single match whereas, in the 1999 edition, it came from a position of must-win situation to win the tournament. Similarly, in 1992 World Cup, Pakistan won the tournament even after winning lesser number of matches in total than England and New Zealand. But in the context of the tournament history, Australia’s world cup wins in 2003 and 2007 are considered as equal as Pakistan’s win in 1992 or Australia’s own in 1999.

The ratings system provides the opportunity where a team’s ranking can be measured by its same ranking in a different period. The different points slabs in ratings helps in exploring this opportunity. For this purpose, the performance of teams  can be interpreted as per the following point slabs:

100 – 110 – just above par
90 – 100 – just below par
120+ - consistently good
130+ - exceptional
140+ - outstanding and rare
80 – 90 – consistently below par
70 – 80 – consistently bad
Below 70 – consistently disappointing

Since the amount of rating points a team earns for a match depends on opponent’s rating points before a match, the higher a team goes in the ratings, the more difficult it becomes for that team to increase it’s ratings points. Therefore, it is rare to see a team with a current rating of more than 135.

Now, looking at the consolidated rankings table, it gives a fair idea of how different teams are doing in Cricketing World. India has been performing consistently good across all formats. They are winning more times against the top sides than losing.
On the other hand, South Africa and New Zealand have been performing well enough across the formats but they are neither dominating nor struggling in any format.
England have been good in ODIs recently, doing reasonably well in T20Is while, in Test format, they are trying to catch up with top teams.
Australia have managed success in T20Is, in recent times, but their performance in Tests and ODIs has  not been as good, recently, as Australian sides in the past.

Pakistan, although, has managed to outperform all other teams in T20Is, recently, but they are struggling in Test format, and their ODI performance has just been average – though, an achievement in itself considering where they were some years ago.
Sri Lanka is simply struggling in all formats. Their performance in all formats is on decline since the departure of their legendary duo of Sangakkara and Jayawardene in 2015.
Windies have been a disappointment in Tests and ODIs although they have managed to do comparatively well in T20Is, recently, including winning the WT20 in 2016.
Bangladesh is still trying to find its feet in the league of top Cricketing nations while, at the same time, Afghanistan is on the rise and with their induction in the Test rankings, they look on course to outperform Bangladesh, Windies and Sri Lanka in a few years.

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ICC Test Rankings Update 2018 - Comparison of Updated Team Ranking and Rating with last update

As part of annual process, ICC has announced the updated Test Rankings Table.

In terms of Rankings, there are only a couple of changes in the table. However, there have been slight changes in Ratings of some of the teams. Following are the official changes circulated by ICC earlier today:


MRF Tyres ICC Test Team Rankings (as on 1 May, following the annual update):

Rank    Team              Points
1          India                 125 (+4)
2          South Africa      112 (-5)
3          Australia            106 (+4)
4          New Zealand     102 (-)
5          England             98 (+1)
6          Sri Lanka          94 (-1)
7          Pakistan             86 (-2)
8          Bangladesh       75 (+4)
9          Windies              67 (-5)
10         Zimbabwe            2 (+1)


More details are also available on ICC's website

The Rankings calculation includes performance during the last 36 to 48 months and changes in ranking and/or rating as a result of annual update of any year does not necessarily reflect on the performance of the teams in the past year - since the last annual update.

In addition to the benchmark view that ICC Rankings provide, for a period of upto 48 months, here is a quick comparison of team ratings and rankings as it stand after this year's annual update with the result of last annual update which was announced on May 18, 2017.




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On BBC Urdu - Brief discussion on ICC Rankings Update

Audio clip of brief interview by Abdul Rasheed Shakoor for BBC Urdu's weekly show کھیل کے میدان سے


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Not a lot of changes in ICC Team Rankings after this year's annual update

Its that time of the year when ICC Team Rankings change overnight. On 1 May every year, ICC normalizes its ranking data to ensure the rankings reflect a standing based on more recent form of International teams. On this date, performance in any matches took place earlier than 3 years gets discarded from the calculations while the weightage of all performances between the last annual update and the 12 months before that is reduced to half.

In the past, Cricket world has witnessed quite a few changes in the rankings table as a result of such annual ranking updates. However, this year’s annual update is expected to bring much lesser number of changes in the team standings. There will still be quite a few eye-catching changes in the ratings of teams but the rankings overall rankings in ODIs and T20Is are expected to remain pretty much the same.

In ODI format, after the annual update of ICC ODI Rankings, the rankings of only 4 - out of 12 officially ranked ODI teams by ICC - are expected to change. England will replace India as the leader of the pack - India will drop to number 2 - while New Zealand and South Africa will swap places at number 3 and 4. Rest of the team rankings will remain the same. READ MORE

In T20I format, the annual update of ICC T20I Rankings is going to bring similar changes. South Africa and England will swap places at number 5 and 6. Afghanistan will leap over Sri Lanka at number 8, Scotland might* replace Bangladesh at number 10 and Netherlands might* swap places with Zimbabwe at 12 and 13. (In case of minor teams who have not a played enough matches as compared to Test Playing Nations, ICC may apply special formulas to allocate the final rating points). READ MORE

Overall, there will be no change of more than one position in either ODI or T20I rankings of the top Cricketing nations in the world.. The ranking of Pakistan, Australia and West Indies will see no change after the annual update of ICC ODI and T20I Rankings.

Disclaimer: 
All future calculations are for indicative purposes only & are based on information publicly available about Rankings formulas & rankings at different points in time; minor variation with official update is possible
Official status to be shared ICC in coming weeks.


From the Vault:
More about similar analysis done at the time of last annual rankings update in May 2017


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